[Online Event] Continuity and Change in U.S. Foreign Policy in the Persian Gulf Under the Biden Presidency
Mehran Kamrava is a Professor of Government at Georgetown University Qatar. He is the author of a number of journal articles and books, including, most recently, A Concise History of Revolution (Cambridge University Press, 2020); Troubled Waters: Insecurity in the Persian Gulf (Cornell University Press, 2018); Inside the Arab State (Oxford University Press, 2018); The Impossibility of Palestine: History, Geography, and the Road Ahead (Yale University Press, 2016); Qatar: Small State, Big Politics (Cornell University Press, 2015); The Modern Middle East: A Political History since the First World War, 3rd ed. (University of California Press, 2013); and Iran’s Intellectual Revolution (Cambridge University Press, 2008). Kamrava is the Series Editor for the "Contemporary Issues in the Middle East" series of Syracuse University Press, and the "Iran and the World" series at Hurst Publishers and Oxford University Press.
Although presidential foreign policy doctrines take some time to take shape, “the Biden Doctrine” has been quick to form. This emerging doctrine has six main principles: more restrained use of American military force; China as America’s existential competitor; Russia as a disrupter; Iran and North Korea as nuclear proliferators; cyber threats as ever-evolving; and, terrorism as spreading far beyond Afghanistan. Although the accent and emphasis of American foreign and security policies in the Persian Gulf have seen some modifications from the Trump presidency, America’s overall posture in the region has not changed. The main security issues in the Persian Gulf, and developments arising out of them, have not changed either. For the foreseeable future, the primary security issues in the Persian Gulf are likely to include continued US military presence, resultant continued psychological dependence on the US, mistrust, and fear of the regional Arab states toward Iran, declining significance of the GCC as multilateral security and cooperation forum, and a continued absence of Russian and Chinese military presence in the Persian Gulf’s shallow waters. All this amounts to a continuation of American military and security presence in the Persian Gulf as it has evolved since the Nixon presidency.
- Wednesday, January 26, 2022
- 12:00pm - 1:00pm